QB PIT Week 5 · PPR

Start or sit Aaron Rodgers?

The verdict comes from our weekly projection model: last season's opportunity-based xFP/g shrunk toward the position mean, then adjusted for role, injury status, the opponent's fantasy points allowed and the Vegas game total vs the league average.

Borderline

#26 QB projection — on the borderline of the ~18 started in 12-team superflex.

Borderline call: Aaron Rodgers projects for 13.2 PPR points this week, ranked #26 among QBs by our projection model. vs IND is a soft matchup for QBs — the model applies a +1% swing to his projection. Vegas posts the total at 47.5 — 101% of the 47.2 league average for week 5.

Season projection table

PPR · weeks 1–18

Aaron Rodgers projected PPR points by week, weeks 1 through 18
Wk Proj (PPR)
1 12.5
2 12.0
3 14.3
4 10.8
5 this week 13.2
6 14.4
7 11.4
8 11.5
9 —
10 14.1
11 12.1
12 10.9
13 11.2
14 12.7
15 13.5
16 11.6
17 14.4
18 13.5

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