Who should I start?
Pick two players. The verdict adjusts each one's value for the defence he faces this week, using real 245-player VORP rankings and the full defense vs position table — not a gut call.
Player A
Player B
Pick two players to see this week's start/sit verdict.
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Week 1 projections — model v1
Each projection starts from last season's opportunity-based expected points per game (xFP/g), shrunk toward the position mean so a small sample can't masquerade as a career, then adjusted for depth-chart role, the opponent's fantasy points allowed, and the Vegas game total against the league average. PPR scoring. Players without an nflverse baseline (typically rookies) are marked provisional and project to the position prior.
| Player | Pos | Opp | Proj (PPR) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Hurts PHI | QB | vs WAS | 20.3 |
| Dak Prescott DAL | QB | @NYG | 18.7 |
| Bucky Irving TB | RB | @CIN | 18.7 |
| Jaxson Dart NYG | QB | vs DAL | 18.6 |
| Baker Mayfield TB | QB | @CIN | 18.4 |
| Jonathan Taylor IND | RB | vs BAL | 18.0 |
| Justin Herbert LAC | QB | vs ARI | 17.9 |
| Saquon Barkley PHI | RB | vs WAS | 17.6 |
| Tyler Shough NO | QB | @DET | 17.5 |
| Joe Burrow CIN | QB | vs TB | 17.2 |
| Matthew Stafford LAR | QB | vs SF | 17.1 |
| Chase Brown CIN | RB | vs TB | 17.1 |
| Christian McCaffrey SF | RB | @LAR | 16.9 |
| Bo Nix DEN | QB | @KC | 16.9 |
| Javonte Williams DAL | RB | @NYG | 16.7 |
| Jayden Daniels WAS | QB | @PHI | 16.7 |
This week's start/sit verdicts
The top 24 players by projected PPR points for week 5, ranked within position. The startable window in a 12-team league is 18 QBs, 28 RBs, 34 WRs and 13 TEs; injury tags and byes override the rank. Every verdict links to the full weekly breakdown.
- Bijan Robinson RB · ATL · vs BAL start 19.9
- Dak Prescott QB · DAL · vs TB start 19.8
- De'Von Achane RB · MIA · vs CIN sit 19.4
- Jayden Daniels QB · WAS · vs NYG sit 19.3
- Baker Mayfield QB · TB · @DAL sit 19.1
- Jahmyr Gibbs RB · DET · @ARI start 18.8
- Josh Allen QB · BUF · @LAR start 18.7
- Jaxson Dart QB · NYG · @WAS sit 17.9
- Chase Brown RB · CIN · @MIA start 17.6
- Bucky Irving RB · TB · @DAL start 17.5
- Drake London WR · ATL · vs BAL start 17.3
- Trey McBride TE · ARI · vs DET start 17.3
- Jacoby Brissett QB · ARI · vs DET start 17.2
- Caleb Williams QB · CHI · @GB sit 17.2
- Jalen Hurts QB · PHI · @JAX start 17.1
- Drake Maye QB · NE · vs LV start 16.9
- Daniel Jones QB · IND · @PIT start 16.7
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR · SEA · vs SF start 16.7
- Kyren Williams RB · LAR · vs BUF start 16.4
- Trevor Lawrence QB · JAX · vs PHI start 16.3
- James Cook RB · BUF · @LAR start 16.3
- C.J. Stroud QB · HOU · @TEN start 16.3
- Jordan Love QB · GB · vs CHI start 16.2
- Deshaun Watson QB · CLE · @NYJ start 16.1