QB BUF Week 5 · PPR

Start or sit Josh Allen?

The verdict comes from our weekly projection model: last season's opportunity-based xFP/g shrunk toward the position mean, then adjusted for role, injury status, the opponent's fantasy points allowed and the Vegas game total vs the league average.

Start

#4 QB projection this week — comfortable start.

Start call: Josh Allen projects for 18.7 PPR points this week, ranked #4 among QBs by our projection model. @LAR is a neutral matchup for QBs — the model applies a 0% swing to his projection. Vegas posts the total at 53.5 — 113% of the 47.2 league average for week 5.

Season projection table

PPR · weeks 1–18

Josh Allen projected PPR points by week, weeks 1 through 18
Wk Proj (PPR)
1 15.1
2 20.0
3 15.5
4 17.1
5 this week 18.7
6 17.7
7 —
8 18.3
9 14.9
10 19.9
11 18.8
12 17.3
13 16.6
14 16.7
15 18.4
16 16.6
17 18.8
18 19.9

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