QB LAC
Week 5 · PPR
Start or sit Justin Herbert?
The verdict comes from our weekly projection model: last season's opportunity-based xFP/g shrunk toward the position mean, then adjusted for role, injury status, the opponent's fantasy points allowed and the Vegas game total vs the league average.
Start
#16 QB projection this week — comfortable start.
Start call: Justin Herbert projects for 15.5 PPR points this week, ranked #16 among QBs by our projection model. vs DEN is a tough matchup for QBs — the model applies a -7% swing to his projection. Vegas posts the total at 44.5 — 94% of the 47.2 league average for week 5.
Season projection table
PPR · weeks 1–18
| Wk | Proj (PPR) |
|---|---|
| 1 | 17.9 |
| 2 | 16.6 |
| 3 | 15.7 |
| 4 | 15.7 |
| 5 this week | 15.5 |
| 6 | 16.8 |
| 7 | — |
| 8 | 17.3 |
| 9 | 15.0 |
| 10 | 18.0 |
| 11 | 19.7 |
| 12 | 16.3 |
| 13 | 19.4 |
| 14 | 17.2 |
| 15 | 17.8 |
| 16 | 18.5 |
| 17 | 16.7 |
| 18 | 16.0 |