RB NO
Week 5 · PPR
Start or sit Alvin Kamara?
The verdict comes from our weekly projection model: last season's opportunity-based xFP/g shrunk toward the position mean, then adjusted for role, injury status, the opponent's fantasy points allowed and the Vegas game total vs the league average.
Sit
RB42 — below the ~28 started in 12-team leagues.
Sit call: Alvin Kamara projects for 5.1 PPR points this week, ranked #42 among RBs by our projection model. vs MIN is a tough matchup for RBs — the model applies a -7% swing to his projection. Vegas posts the total at 44.5 — 94% of the 47.2 league average for week 5.
Season projection table
PPR · weeks 1–18
| Wk | Proj (PPR) |
|---|---|
| 1 | 5.4 |
| 2 | 6.1 |
| 3 | 5.7 |
| 4 | 5.7 |
| 5 this week | 5.1 |
| 6 | 6.3 |
| 7 | 5.1 |
| 8 | — |
| 9 | 5.8 |
| 10 | 6.2 |
| 11 | 5.6 |
| 12 | 6.6 |
| 13 | 5.7 |
| 14 | 6.2 |
| 15 | 5.8 |
| 16 | 6.4 |
| 17 | 5.7 |
| 18 | 5.8 |