RB HOU
Week 5 · PPR
Start or sit David Montgomery?
The verdict comes from our weekly projection model: last season's opportunity-based xFP/g shrunk toward the position mean, then adjusted for role, injury status, the opponent's fantasy points allowed and the Vegas game total vs the league average.
Start
#27 RB projection this week — comfortable start.
Start call: David Montgomery projects for 8.6 PPR points this week, ranked #27 among RBs by our projection model. @TEN is a tough matchup for RBs — the model applies a -2% swing to his projection. Vegas posts the total at 43.5 — 92% of the 47.2 league average for week 5.
Season projection table
PPR · weeks 1–18
| Wk | Proj (PPR) |
|---|---|
| 1 | 9.7 |
| 2 | 10.6 |
| 3 | 8.5 |
| 4 | 10.1 |
| 5 this week | 8.6 |
| 6 | 7.5 |
| 7 | 10.1 |
| 8 | — |
| 9 | 8.0 |
| 10 | 9.3 |
| 11 | 8.6 |
| 12 | 9.6 |
| 13 | 8.4 |
| 14 | 10.1 |
| 15 | 7.8 |
| 16 | 8.8 |
| 17 | 9.1 |
| 18 | 9.0 |