TE DAL Week 5 · PPR

Start or sit Jake Ferguson?

The verdict comes from our weekly projection model: last season's opportunity-based xFP/g shrunk toward the position mean, then adjusted for role, injury status, the opponent's fantasy points allowed and the Vegas game total vs the league average.

Start

#3 TE projection this week — comfortable start.

Start call: Jake Ferguson projects for 12.3 PPR points this week, ranked #3 among TEs by our projection model. vs TB is a soft matchup for TEs — the model applies a +10% swing to his projection. Vegas posts the total at 52.5 — 111% of the 47.2 league average for week 5.

Season projection table

PPR · weeks 1–18

Jake Ferguson projected PPR points by week, weeks 1 through 18
Wk Proj (PPR)
1 10.2
2 12.5
3 10.2
4 10.3
5 this week 12.3
6 10.6
7 9.1
8 12.1
9 11.5
10 11.4
11 11.1
12 9.2
13 11.2
14 —
15 10.6
16 11.3
17 9.8
18 11.8

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