QB CIN
Week 5 · PPR
Start or sit Joe Burrow?
The verdict comes from our weekly projection model: last season's opportunity-based xFP/g shrunk toward the position mean, then adjusted for role, injury status, the opponent's fantasy points allowed and the Vegas game total vs the league average.
Start
#15 QB projection this week — comfortable start.
Start call: Joe Burrow projects for 15.8 PPR points this week, ranked #15 among QBs by our projection model. @MIA is a soft matchup for QBs — the model applies a +7% swing to his projection. Vegas posts the total at 49.5 — 105% of the 47.2 league average for week 5.
Season projection table
PPR · weeks 1–18
| Wk | Proj (PPR) |
|---|---|
| 1 | 17.2 |
| 2 | 12.6 |
| 3 | 16.0 |
| 4 | 14.9 |
| 5 this week | 15.8 |
| 6 | — |
| 7 | 15.0 |
| 8 | 16.0 |
| 9 | 14.5 |
| 10 | 15.9 |
| 11 | 16.3 |
| 12 | 13.1 |
| 13 | 12.8 |
| 14 | 13.9 |
| 15 | 12.9 |
| 16 | 14.6 |
| 17 | 15.0 |
| 18 | 12.8 |