WR IND Week 5 · PPR

Start or sit Josh Downs?

The verdict comes from our weekly projection model: last season's opportunity-based xFP/g shrunk toward the position mean, then adjusted for role, injury status, the opponent's fantasy points allowed and the Vegas game total vs the league average.

Sit

WR56 — below the ~34 started in 12-team leagues.

Sit call: Josh Downs projects for 5.9 PPR points this week, ranked #56 among WRs by our projection model. @PIT is a soft matchup for WRs — the model applies a +9% swing to his projection. Vegas posts the total at 47.5 — 101% of the 47.2 league average for week 5.

Season projection table

PPR · weeks 1–18

Josh Downs projected PPR points by week, weeks 1 through 18
Wk Proj (PPR)
1 6.3
2 5.1
3 4.6
4 6.0
5 this week 5.9
6 6.1
7 4.6
8 5.4
9 6.1
10 5.2
11 4.6
12 5.7
13 —
14 4.8
15 6.0
16 4.6
17 4.9
18 5.4

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