QB BAL Questionable Week 5 · PPR

Start or sit Lamar Jackson?

The verdict comes from our weekly projection model: last season's opportunity-based xFP/g shrunk toward the position mean, then adjusted for role, injury status, the opponent's fantasy points allowed and the Vegas game total vs the league average.

Borderline

#19 QB projection — on the borderline of the ~18 started in 12-team superflex.

Borderline call: Lamar Jackson projects for 15.0 PPR points this week, ranked #19 among QBs by our projection model. @ATL is a neutral matchup for QBs — the model applies a 0% swing to his projection. Vegas posts the total at 48.5 — 103% of the 47.2 league average for week 5.

Season projection table

PPR · weeks 1–18

Lamar Jackson projected PPR points by week, weeks 1 through 18
Wk Proj (PPR)
1 15.4
2 13.5
3 18.0
4 16.5
5 this week 15.0
6 12.8
7 16.0
8 12.9
9 14.5
10 12.6
11 13.2
12 12.8
13 —
14 16.5
15 16.2
16 13.1
17 16.0
18 16.2

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