WR HOU
Week 5 · PPR
Start or sit Nico Collins?
The verdict comes from our weekly projection model: last season's opportunity-based xFP/g shrunk toward the position mean, then adjusted for role, injury status, the opponent's fantasy points allowed and the Vegas game total vs the league average.
Start
#5 WR projection this week — comfortable start.
Start call: Nico Collins projects for 14.5 PPR points this week, ranked #5 among WRs by our projection model. @TEN is a soft matchup for WRs — the model applies a +12% swing to his projection. Vegas posts the total at 43.5 — 92% of the 47.2 league average for week 5.
Season projection table
PPR · weeks 1–18
| Wk | Proj (PPR) |
|---|---|
| 1 | 12.0 |
| 2 | 11.7 |
| 3 | 15.4 |
| 4 | 15.7 |
| 5 this week | 14.5 |
| 6 | 13.0 |
| 7 | 14.2 |
| 8 | — |
| 9 | 12.8 |
| 10 | 12.4 |
| 11 | 15.4 |
| 12 | 15.3 |
| 13 | 14.7 |
| 14 | 14.6 |
| 15 | 13.6 |
| 16 | 11.2 |
| 17 | 13.7 |
| 18 | 15.1 |