QB ATL
Week 5 · PPR
Start or sit Tua Tagovailoa?
The verdict comes from our weekly projection model: last season's opportunity-based xFP/g shrunk toward the position mean, then adjusted for role, injury status, the opponent's fantasy points allowed and the Vegas game total vs the league average.
Borderline
#27 QB projection — on the borderline of the ~18 started in 12-team superflex.
Borderline call: Tua Tagovailoa projects for 13.0 PPR points this week, ranked #27 among QBs by our projection model. vs BAL is a soft matchup for QBs — the model applies a +4% swing to his projection. Vegas posts the total at 48.5 — 103% of the 47.2 league average for week 5.
Season projection table
PPR · weeks 1–18
| Wk | Proj (PPR) |
|---|---|
| 1 | 13.0 |
| 2 | 10.8 |
| 3 | 11.9 |
| 4 | 11.0 |
| 5 this week | 13.0 |
| 6 | 13.1 |
| 7 | 13.1 |
| 8 | 13.8 |
| 9 | 13.4 |
| 10 | 11.9 |
| 11 | — |
| 12 | 10.4 |
| 13 | 13.1 |
| 14 | 10.9 |
| 15 | 13.9 |
| 16 | 13.8 |
| 17 | 11.2 |
| 18 | 11.0 |