WR BAL Week 5 · PPR

Start or sit Zay Flowers?

The verdict comes from our weekly projection model: last season's opportunity-based xFP/g shrunk toward the position mean, then adjusted for role, injury status, the opponent's fantasy points allowed and the Vegas game total vs the league average.

Start

#10 WR projection this week — comfortable start.

Start call: Zay Flowers projects for 12.7 PPR points this week, ranked #10 among WRs by our projection model. @ATL is a soft matchup for WRs — the model applies a +6% swing to his projection. Vegas posts the total at 48.5 — 103% of the 47.2 league average for week 5.

Season projection table

PPR · weeks 1–18

Zay Flowers projected PPR points by week, weeks 1 through 18
Wk Proj (PPR)
1 13.9
2 11.4
3 14.4
4 13.3
5 this week 12.7
6 10.6
7 10.1
8 10.6
9 11.8
10 11.1
11 10.7
12 10.2
13 —
14 12.0
15 12.8
16 10.8
17 10.1
18 12.8

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